BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Forest City

Class: 2A Class Rank: 36 Conference: Top of Iowa Record: (7-4-0) Overall: (13-31-0) Overall Strength =   56.17

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/28/2021 Away    W *    81.94  43   6    A 42 (16-29- 0) Lake Mills             25.61     11.39  was 08-27 now 08-28 
 2 09/03/2021 Home    L      43.28   0  49   2A  3 (41-14- 0) Spirit Lake           -13.05    -35.95                      
 3 09/10/2021 Home    L      48.42  14  26   1A 23 (20-26- 0) Clarion CGD            -7.91     -4.09                      
 4 09/17/2021 Away    L   *  62.95  14  21   2A 30 (19-28- 0) Cresco Crestwood        6.62    -13.62                      
 5 09/24/2021 Home    L * *  72.62   8  14   2A 11 (33-16- 0) Osage                  16.29    -22.29                      
 6 10/01/2021 Away    L      74.97  33  49   3A  8 (35-16- 0) Clear Lake             18.64    -34.64                      
 7 10/08/2021 Home    L   *  27.90   0  34   2A 31 (18-27- 0) New Hampton           -28.42     -5.58                      
 8 10/15/2021 Away    L *    42.51  14  25   1A 35 ( 7-37- 0) Garner GHV            -13.82      2.82                      
 9 10/22/2021 Away    L      46.65   0  23   2A 29 (19-26- 0) Milford Okoboji        -9.68    -13.32                      
10 08/26/2022 Home    W *    80.13  46   6    A 42 (16-29- 0) Lake Mills             23.80     16.20                      
11 09/02/2022 Away    L      50.09   0  47   2A  3 (41-14- 0) Spirit Lake            -6.24    -40.76                      
12 09/09/2022 Away    L      43.23   6  28   1A 23 (20-26- 0) Clarion CGD           -13.10     -8.90                      
13 09/16/2022 Home    L   *  50.14  21  36   2A 30 (19-28- 0) Cresco Crestwood       -6.19     -8.81                      
14 09/23/2022 Away    L * *  41.43   0  42   2A 11 (33-16- 0) Osage                 -14.90    -27.10                      
15 09/30/2022 Home    L      63.16  12  35   3A  8 (35-16- 0) Clear Lake              6.83    -29.83                      
16 10/07/2022 Away    L   *  56.71  18  28   2A 31 (18-27- 0) New Hampton             0.38    -10.38                      
17 10/14/2022 Home    W *    84.70  36   0   1A 35 ( 7-37- 0) Garner GHV             28.37      7.63                      
18 10/20/2022 Home    W     100.84  42   6   2A 29 (19-26- 0) Milford Okoboji        44.51     -8.51                      
19 08/25/2023 Home    L      52.16   0  34   3A  8 (35-16- 0) Clear Lake             -4.17    -29.83                      
20 09/01/2023 Away    L      54.31  16  49   3A 10 (28-21- 0) Algona                 -2.01    -30.99                      
21 09/08/2023 Home    W *    62.66  41  14   1A 45 ( 9-36- 0) Eagle Grove             6.34     20.66                      
22 09/15/2023 Home    L      35.28   6  63   2A  3 (41-14- 0) Spirit Lake           -21.05    -35.95                      
23 09/22/2023 Away    W *    60.51   7   0   1A 35 ( 7-37- 0) Garner GHV              4.18      2.82                      
24 09/29/2023 Away    W      71.23  22  16   1A 23 (20-26- 0) Clarion CGD            14.90     -8.90                      
25 10/06/2023 Home    L      46.55  14  35   2A 24 (14-29- 0) Estherville LC         -9.77    -11.23                      
26 10/13/2023 Away    L      47.65  19  41   2A 29 (19-26- 0) Milford Okoboji        -8.68    -13.32                      
27 10/20/2023 Home    W      83.54  41  12   3A 26 (15-31- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden       27.21      1.79                      
28 08/30/2024 Away    L      63.97  14  41   3A  8 (35-16- 0) Clear Lake              7.64    -34.64                      
29 09/06/2024 Home    L      57.50  36  61   3A 10 (28-21- 0) Algona                  1.18    -26.18                      
30 09/13/2024 Away    W *    73.47  47  14   1A 45 ( 9-36- 0) Eagle Grove            17.14     15.86                      
31 09/20/2024 Away    L      41.09   0  56   2A  3 (41-14- 0) Spirit Lake           -15.24    -40.76                      
32 09/27/2024 Home    W *    58.70  24  14   1A 35 ( 7-37- 0) Garner GHV              2.37      7.63                      
33 10/04/2024 Home    W      68.42  22  14   1A 23 (20-26- 0) Clarion CGD            12.09     -4.09                      
34 10/11/2024 Away    W      78.36  33  27 1 2A 24 (14-29- 0) Estherville LC         22.04    -16.04                      
35 10/18/2024 Home    L      48.84  25  41   2A 29 (19-26- 0) Milford Okoboji        -7.49     -8.51                      
36 10/25/2024 Away    L      74.68  32  60   2A  1 (40-15- 0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   18.35    -46.35                      
37 08/29/2025 Away    L      21.97   0  69   3A  8 (35-16- 0) Clear Lake            -34.36    -34.64                      
38 09/05/2025 Home    L      40.48  15  19   3A 31 (14-31- 0) Charles City          -15.85     11.85                      
39 09/12/2025 Home    L      38.50  16  60   3A 10 (28-21- 0) Algona                -17.82    -26.18                      
40 09/19/2025 Away    L   *  30.98   0  46   2A 18 (30-20- 0) Waukon                -25.35    -20.65  Homecoming- Varsity Game Only
41 09/26/2025 Home    L   *  30.14   7  42   2A 30 (19-28- 0) Cresco Crestwood      -26.19     -8.81  Homecoming          
42 10/03/2025 Away    W   *  72.71  20  14 1 2A 31 (18-27- 0) New Hampton            16.38    -10.38  Senior Parent Recognition Pregame and Youth Football Recognition Halftime
43 10/10/2025 Home    L   *  44.46   7  35   2A 19 (30-19- 0) North Fayette Valley  -11.86    -16.14  Senior Night        
44 10/17/2025 Away    L * *  41.43   0  42   2A 11 (33-16- 0) Osage                 -14.90    -27.10  No curtain raiser   
      Averages              56.17  17.5 31.7

Best game:  100.84 = 36 point win over Milford Okoboji
Worst game:  21.97 = 69 point loss to Clear Lake
Team stdev:  17.71